Newcastle United (20-10-6) vs Arsenal (18-4-14)
Game Info: Sunday, May 18, 2025 at 11:30 am ET (Emirates Stadium)
The Line: Betting Odds: Arsenal -105 / Newcastle United +265 — Over/Under: 2.75
Newcastle United will visit Arsenal on Sunday, May 18, 2025, at the Emirates Stadium in this Week 37 Premier League Matchup. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Newcastle United vs Arsenal Prediction. We will examine:
Arsenal recent form and player performance
Newcastle United recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving Arsenal
Recent betting trends and streaks involving Newcastle United
Recent betting trends in games played between the Newcastle United and Arsenal
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Newcastle United vs Arsenal game
Arsenal Preview
Arsenal has 68 points this season and is currently sitting on the second place of the Premier League standings. Arsenal has a 18-4-14 record this season, while having a 10-2-6 home record. They are coming off a 2-2 road draw against Liverpool, and have been winless in their last five games. Over is 6-1 in their last 7 overall games.
Arsenal is averaging 1.83 goals per game, which is 4th in the league, while allowing 0.92 goals per game, which is the best in the Premier League. Kai Havertz is the top scorer for Arsenal this season with 9 goals, while Leandro Trossard and Gabriel Martinelli follow with 8 goals apiece. Bukayo Saka is the team’s top passer, with 10 assists made.
Newcastle United Preview
Newcastle has 66 points this season and are sitting on the third place of the Premier League standings. Newcastle has a 20-10-6 record this season and have an 8-6-4 road record. They are coming off a 2-0 home victory over Chelsea, and are 8-1-1 in their last 10 games. Over is 8-3 in their last 11 overall games and 3-1 in their last 4 road games.
Newcastle is averaging 1.89 goals per game, which is the second-best in the league, while allowing 1.25 goals per game, which is 8th. Alexander Isak is the top scorer for Newcastle this season with 23 total goals, while Harvey Barnes follows with 9 goals. Jacob Murphy is the team’s top passer, with 11 assists made.
Why Arsenal will win
- Arsenal has won 11 of its last 12 EPL home matches against Newcastle United.
- Arsenal has won 11 of its last 12 EPL matches against Newcastle United at Emirates Stadium.
- Arsenal has won eight of its last nine EPL day matches at Emirates Stadium following a league draw.
- The home team has won five of Newcastle United’s last six EPL matches.
- The home team has won each of the last three EPL matches between Arsenal and Newcastle United.
Why Newcastle United will win
- The underdog has won three of the last four EPL matches between Arsenal and Newcastle United.
- Newcastle United has won four of its last five EPL day matches.
- Newcastle United has won four of its last five EPL Sunday matches.
- Newcastle United has won seven of its last nine EPL matches.
Total Points Facts
- The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has failed to hit in 11 of the last 12 EPL matches between Arsenal and Newcastle United.
- The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has failed to hit in 10 of Arsenal’s last 11 EPL matches as a favorite against Newcastle United.
- The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in each of Arsenal’s last four EPL home matches.
- The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in seven of the last eight EPL matches between Arsenal and Newcastle United.
- The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Arsenal’s last four EPL matches.
Newcastle United vs Arsenal Prediction
Newcastle has won all three previous meetings against Arsenal this season, winning their only meeting in Emirates with a 2-0 score for the English Cup. Newcastle is their last 4 meetings against Arsenal, but Arsenal is 11-1-2 in their last 14 meetings in Emirates. Under is 9-1 in their last 10 overall meetings, and 3-1 in their last 4 meetings in Emirates.
In this Newcastle United vs Arsenal Prediction, Arsenal is coming as -105 home favorites. Both teams have almost the same points this season, and Arsenal has been in poor form lately, while on the other hand Newcastle has been red-hot with 8 wins in their last 10 games. Newcastle can overtake the second place from Arsenal with a win today, which means that they will not go down easily. I really like the value of Newcastle to not lose, and we can get that by betting Newcastle with a +0.5 Asian Handicap.