Newcastle (18-9-5) vs Aston Villa (15-8-9)
Game Info: Saturday, April 19, 2025 at 12:30 pm ET (Villa Park)
The Line: Betting Odds: Aston Villa +135 / Newcastle +190– Over/Under: 3
Newcastle will visit Aston Villa on Saturday, April 19, 2025, at the Villa Park in this Week 33 Premier League Matchup. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Newcastle vs Aston Villa Prediction. We will examine:
Aston Villa recent form and player performance
Newcastle recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving Aston Villa
Recent betting trends and streaks involving Newcastle
Recent betting trends in games played between the Newcastle and Aston Villa
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Newcastle vs Aston Villa game
Aston Villa Preview
Aston Villa has 54 points this season and are currently tied with Chelsea on the 6th place of the Premier League standings. Aston Villa has a 15-8-9 record this season and have an 8-1-7 home record. Aston Villa is coming off a 3-2 home victory over PSG for the Champions League on Tuesday, and are 10-1 in their last 11 games across all competitions. Over is 8-1 in their last 9 overall games, and 5-1 in their last 6 home games.
Aston Villa is averaging 1.53 goals per games, which is 11th in the league, while allowing 1.44 goals per game, which is 12th in the league. Ollie Watkins is the top scorer for Aston Villa this season with 14 total goals, while Morgan Rogers follow with 8 goals. Morgan Rogers is also the team’s top passer, with 7 assists made.
Newcastle Preview
Newcastle has 59 points this season and are sitting on the third place of the Premier League standings. Newcastle has a 18-9-5 record this season and have an 8-5-3 road record. They are coming off a 5-0 home victory over Crystal Palace, which was their 6th straight win. Over is 6-1 in their last 7 overall games and Both teams to score – No is 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
Newcastle is averaging 1.91 goals per game, which is tied for 5th in the league, while allowing 1.23 goals per game, which is tied for 6th. Alexander Isak is the top scorer for Newcastle this season with 21 total goals, while Harvey Barnes follows with 9 goals. Jacob Murphy is the team’s top passer, with 10 assists made.
Why Aston Villa will win
- The favorite has won each of Newcastle United’s last eight EPL matches.
- The home team has won six of the last seven EPL matches between Aston Villa and Newcastle United.
- Aston Villa has won each of its last four EPL matches.
- Aston Villa has won five of its last six EPL matches.
- Aston Villa has won four of its last five EPL matches against Newcastle United at Villa Park.
Why Newcastle will win
- Newcastle United has won each of its last five EPL matches.
- Newcastle United has won six of its last seven EPL matches.
- Newcastle United has won each of its last four EPL matches following a league win.
- Newcastle United has won each of its last three EPL matches against Aston Villa.
Total Points Facts
- The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in each of Aston Villa’s last eight EPL home matches.
- The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in each of Aston Villa’s last six EPL matches as a home favorite.
- The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in nine of Aston Villa’s last 10 EPL matches as a home favorite.
- The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of the last five EPL matches between Aston Villa and Newcastle United.
- The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Newcastle United’s last four EPL matches.
- The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in six of Aston Villa’s last seven EPL matches.
Newcastle vs Aston Villa Prediction
In their previous meeting this season, Newcastle won 3-0 at home. Newcastle is 5-1 in their last 6 overall meetings, but Aston Villa is 4-1 in their last 5 meetings in Villa Park. Over is 5-0 in their last 5 overall meetings, but under is 6-2 in their last 8 meetings in Villa Park.
In this Newcastle vs Aston Villa Prediction, Aston Villa is coming as +135 home favorites. Both teams are coming red-hot into this matchup, and both need every win they can get in order to keep or even improve their current position in the standings. I don’t want to stand in the way of either team, so I will pass on the side and instead I will focus on the total. Both teams have been red-hot offensively lately, and as a result, they are 14-2 to the over in their last 16 games combined. Their previous meeting this season had 3 total goals and their last five meetings had gone over the total. I expect a lot of goals in this one, so give me the over 3 goals.