Tottenham Hotspur (11-20-5) vs Aston Villa (18-9-9)
May 16, 2025 at 02:30 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Aston Villa -275 / Tottenham Hotspur +600 — Over/Under: 3.5
Tottenham Hotspur will visit Aston Villa on Friday, May 16, 2025, at the Villa Park in this Week 37 Premier League Matchup. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa Prediction. We will examine:
Aston Villa recent form and player performance
Tottenham Hotspur recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving Aston Villa
Recent betting trends and streaks involving Tottenham Hotspur
Recent betting trends in games played between the Tottenham Hotspur and Aston Villa
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa game
Aston Villa Preview
Aston Villa has 63 points this season and are tied with Chelsea on the 5th place of the Premier League standings. Aston Villa has a 18-9-9 record this season and have a 10-1-7 home record. Aston Villa is coming off a 1-0 road victory over Bournemouth, and now have back-to-back wins, following a two-game losing streak. They have been lights out at home, with seven consecutive home wins. Over is 11-2 in their last 13 overall games, and 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
Aston Villa is averaging 1.56 goals per games, which is tied for 9th in the league, while allowing 1.36 goals per game, which is 10th in the league. Ollie Watkins is the top scorer for Aston Villa this season with 16 total goals, while Morgan Rogers follow with 8 goals. Morgan Rogers is also the team’s top passer, with 9 assists made.
Tottenham Hotspur Preview
Tottenham Hotspur has 38 points this season and are sitting on the 16th place of the Premier League standings, and have mathematically avoided relegation. Tottenham has a 11-20-5 record this season and have a 5-11-2 road record. Tottenham is coming off a 0-2 home defeat by Crystal Palace, and have one draw and four losses in their last 5 premier league matches. Over is 5-1 in their last 6 home games.
Tottenham Hotspur is averaging 1.75 goals per game, which is tied for 5th-best in the league, while allowing 1.64 goals per game, which is tied for 15th. Brennan Johnson is the top scorer for Tottenham Hotspur this season with 11 total goals, while James Maddison follows with 9 goals. Heung-Min Son is the team’s top passer, with 9 assists made.
Why Aston Villa will win
- Aston Villa has won seven of its last eight EPL matches.
- Aston Villa has won each of its last four EPL home matches.
- Aston Villa has won five of its last six EPL matches following a league win.
- Tottenham has lost four of its last five EPL matches.
- The favorite has won eight of Tottenham’s last nine EPL matches at Villa Park.
Why Tottenham Hotspur will win
- Tottenham has won eight of its last nine EPL away matches against Aston Villa.
- Tottenham has won eight of its last nine EPL matches against Aston Villa at Villa Park.
- Tottenham has won seven of its last eight EPL matches against Aston Villa following a league loss.
Total Points Facts
- The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in nine of Aston Villa’s last 10 EPL home matches.
- The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in five of Tottenham’s last six EPL matches.
- The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in seven of the last eight EPL matches between Aston Villa and Tottenham.
- The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in four of Aston Villa’s last five EPL home matches.
Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa Prediction
Both teams are tied 1-1 wins this season, with each one having won at home. Aston Villa won 2-1 for the English Cup, and Tottenham won 4-1 for the Premier League. Both teams are 5-5 in over last 10 overall meetings, and Tottenham 9-2 in their last 11 meetings in Villa Park. Under 3.5 goals is 7-3 in their last 10 overall meetings.
In this Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa Prediction, Aston Villa is coming as huge -275 home favorites. Aston Villa is rightfully favored, as they have been the superior team this season, and the only team in this matchup with something left to play for, as they are fighting for a place on the top-5 of the league, that leads to next season’s UEFA Champions League.
On the other hand, Tottenham’s minds are on the upcoming Europa League Final on May 21st against Manchester United, and looks like they are not even trying to win games in the Premier League. The value here is all on the Aston Villa side, but we cannot lay a -275 moneyline, so we will take a look at the -1.5 Asian Handicap, and expect a Villa win by at least two goals.