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Alexander Zverev vs Arthur Fils Prediction 5/13/25 Rome Tennis Picks

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ATP Rome Prediction: Alexander Zverev vs Arthur Fils

May 13, 2025 at 10:00 AM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Alexander Zverev -166 / Arthur Fils +130

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Alexander Zverev and Arthur Fils meet in the round of 16 of the 2025 Italian Open Rome on Tuesday, May 13, 2025. Here’s our Alexander Zverev vs Arthur Fils prediction. This preview will also include an Alexander Zverev vs Arthur Fils pick.

 

Alexander Zverev Preview

Alexander Zverev recorded a routine straight sets win in the third round. He beat Lithuanian qualifier Vilius Gaubas who upset Denis Shapovalov in the first round. Zverev dropped only four games in the match. The first set was extremely tight, lasting nearly an hour. Both players lost their service games at least twice, but it was Zverev who got the decisive fifth break of the set to lead 54. And he served to love to take the opener. 

In the second set, Zverev served a bagel, breaking Gaubas three times. This is another clinical performance from the defending champion. Zverev kicked off the tournament with a similarly impressive outing against Ugo Carabelli, winning 6-2, 6-1. The German improves to 12-4 on clay this term. He won his first title of the season on the Munich clay. Zverev has lost twice in eight visits to Rome before the quarterfinal stage. But he looks set to relinquish the No. 2 ranking to Carlos Alcaraz before the French Open.

 

Arthur Fils Preview

Arthur Fils is the 13th seed and is coming off a three-set win over Greece’s Stefanos Tsitsipas. The Frenchman extended his perfect record against Tsitsipas to 4-0. This was their second meeting of 2025 on clay. Their first ended in retirement because Tsitsipas picked up an injury and had to forfeit the match after two games.

But Tsitsipas made a fast start, looking to avenge that loss. He broke Fils twice in the one-sided first set and won it 6-2.Fils refused to throw in the towel and after the second set stayed on serve until the ninth game, he created a breakpoint and converted it before serving to love in the next game. The match went into a deciding set, and Fils has the energy to outmaneuver the two-time French Open finalist, breaking his serve twice and fending off a late fightback from his opponent. Fils won his opening match in Rome against Tallon Griekspoor 6-2, 6-2. Overall, he has compiled an 8-3 record on clay this season.

 

Alexander Zverev vs Arthur Fils Head-To-Head

Zverev and Fils have met five times on the ATP level. Zverev leads 3-2 in the head-to-head, but on clay they are tied at 1-1. Fils has won two of their last three meetings. Only one of their five matches was settled in straight sets.

 

Alexander Zverev vs Arthur Fils Prediction

Give me the overs here. I don’t foresee a scenario where either player gets it done in straight sets. Zverev is unlikely to relinquish his grip on the title without a fight. The defending champion is almost certain to lose the No. 2 ranking after this tournament, but that has dampened his spirits. He’s looked incredibly competitive with only seven games dropped in two matches. When Zverev is this hot, he’s not easily intimidated and can keep a steady head under pressure. Fils is relentless and will work his socks off. He’s beaten Zverev on clay before. That hunger and fearless attitude is making him one of the tour’s most dangerous opponents for the top names. Fils is on the verge of a top 10 breakthrough, and a victory here would take him ever closer.

 

Nur Said's Pick: Over 23.5 games in the match

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