Jun 30, 2025; Wimbledon, United Kingdom; Arthur Rinderknech (FRA) hits a forehand against Alexander Zverev (GER)(not pictured) on day one of The Championships, Wimbledon 2025 at All England Lawn Tennis and Croquet Club. Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-Imagn Images
Geoff Burke-Imagn Images

Shanghai Prediction: Vacherot vs Rinderknech 10/12/2025 Today’s Tennis Picks

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Shanghai Masters Prediction: Valentin Vacherot vs Arthur Rinderknech

October 12, 2025 at 04:30 AM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Valentin Vacherot +125 / Arthur Rinderknech -166

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Valentin Vacherot will face Arthur Rinderknech in the final of the 2025 Shanghai Masters. The match is scheduled for Sunday, October 12. Here’s our Valentin Vacherot vs Arthur Rinderknech prediction. This preview will also include a Valentin Vacherot vs Arthur Rinderknech pick.

Valentin Vacherot vs Arthur Rinderknech Preview

Valentin Vacherot recorded the biggest win of his career on Saturday after defeating four-time Shanghai champion and former World No. 1 Novak Djokovic in straight sets. The match took only 19 games to decide and Vacherot took advantage of a physically hampered Djokovic to win 6-3, 6-4 in an hour and 41 minutes.

In the victory, Vacherot hit 6 aces and landed 63% of first serves in play. Vacherot won 78% of first serve points (28/36) and 57% of second serve points (12/21). He saved one of two break points. At No. 204, Vacherot is the lowest-ranked finalist in a Masters tournament. This will be his first-ever final on the ATP Tour.

Arthur Rinderknech is also through to his first Masters final. The Frenchman upset the former champion in Shanghai Daniil Medvedev in three sets. The match took 28 games to decide. Rinderknech lost the first set 6-4 in 47 minutes, but played some superb tennis to knock out Medvedev 4-6, 6-2, 6-4 in two hours and 31 minutes.

Rinderknech hit 12 aces to 6 double faults in the victory. He landed 68% of first serves in play and won 68% of first serve points (51/75). Rinderknech won 50% of second serve points (18/36) and saved 10 of 11 break points. Rinderknech will make his top 30 debut after the tournament and, like Vacherot, will look to win his first ATP title.

Valentin Vacherot vs Arthur Rinderknech Head-To-Head

Vacherot and Rinderknech have never faced off on the ATP level.

Valentin Vacherot vs Arthur Rinderknech Prediction

It will be a family affair in Shanghai as two cousins face off for the title. It will be a final for the books and one that not many people would have predicted at any point when the draw was released. For Vacherot, a title win would be the storybook end to this sensational run, which started from qualifying (and he only entered as an alternate). This run would do wonders for his ranking, confidence and belief. He’s guaranteed a top 40 debut at the very least, having spent years chasing a top 100 breakthrough. I’ll go with the man of the hour, and that is Vacherot, who has just played out of his mind in this tournament.

Nur Said's Pick: Valentin Vacherot in three sets

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