Indiana Fever vs Las Vegas Aces Prediction 9/23/2025 Today’s WNBA Picks
Chris Ruffolo
Sep 21, 2025; Las Vegas, Nevada, USA; Las Vegas Aces center A'ja Wilson (22) shoots a free throw during the third quarter in game one of the second round for the 2025 WNBA Playoffs against the Indiana Fever at Michelob Ultra Arena. Mandatory Credit: Lucas Peltier-Imagn Images
MATCHUP
Fever Indiana
Aces Las Vegas
Team Records
24-20
30-14
When
Tuesday, September 23, 2025
Time
09:30 PM EDT
TV
ESPN
The Indiana Fever and the Las Vegas Aces meet Tuesday in WNBA semi-final playoff action from the T-Mobile Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces prediction.
Game One Recap
The Indiana Fever pulled off the upset in game one, picking up an 89-73 win in game one. Kelsey Mitchell went off with 34 points on 12 of 23 shooting with 4 threes while Odyssey Sims added 17 points on 7 of 13 shooting with 3 steals. Natasha Howard chipped in 12 points with a share of the team-high with 11 rebounds while Aliyah Boston added 11 boards of her own with 5 assists. Jackie Young led the Aces with 19 points on 9 of 16 shooting with 6 rebounds while A’Ja Wilson added 16 points with 13 rebounds and 4 blocks for the double-double. Dana Evans chipped in 14 points off of the bench, shooting 6 of 9 from the field, and Chelsea Gray added 13 points with 5 boards and 4 assists as well.
Indiana Fever Stats
Kelsey Mitchell leads the Fever in scoring with 20.3 PPG along with 3.4 APG while Caitlin Clark has 16.5 PPG with 5 RPG and a team-high 8.8 APG to lead the Fever in assists, but is out for the rest of the season with an injury. Aliyah Boston has 15.4 PPG with a team-high 8.3 RPG and 3.6 APG to lead the Fever in rebounding and Natasha Howard has 11.3 PPG with 6.7 RPG. Odyssey Sims has 10.6 PPG and 4.1 APG in 8 games played so far to cap off the scoring in double figures for the Fever so far this season. Lexie Hull has added 7 PPG with 4.4 RPG. Sophie Cunningham also has 8.6 PPG with 3.5 RPG as well on the year.
Las Vegas Aces Stats
A’Ja Wilson leads the Aces across the board with 21.5 PPG along with 9.1 RPG to go along with 3.3 APG, 2.3 BPG and 1.7 SPG. Jackie Young has 16.6 PPG with 4.1 RPG and 4.5 APG as well this season. Chelsea Gray has chipped in 11 PPG with 4.1 RPG and 4.5 APG and Jewell Loyd’s added 11.4 PPG with 3.7 RPG to round out the group of double-digit scorers for Las Vegas so far this season.
Indiana Fever @ Las Vegas Aces Betting Trends: September 23, 2025
Why the Las Vegas Aces will win
The Aces have won each of their last eight night games at Michelob Ultra Arena.
The Fever have lost 11 of their last 12 night games against Aces teams that held a winning record.
The Fever have failed to cover the spread in 17 of their last 21 games against Western Conference opponents after winning as underdogs.
The Aces have covered the spread in four of their last five games against the Fever following a home loss.
Why the Indiana Fever will win
The Fever have won four of their last five games as underdogs.
The Aces have lost each of their last two Semi-Finals games as favorites.
The Fever have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games.
The Aces have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven Semi-Finals games.
Total Points Facts
Each of the last seven games between the Aces and Fever have gone UNDER the total points line.
Each of the Fever’s last five games against Western Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
Las Vegas Aces Player Facts
A’ja Wilson ranks 1st amongst qualified players for points per game (23.4) this season.
Chelsea Gray leads all Las Vegas Aces players for assists per 36 minutes (6.3) this season.
Indiana Fever Player Facts
Kelsey Mitchell ranks 1st amongst qualified players in the Eastern Conference for points per game (20.2) this season.
Aliyah Boston ranks 1st amongst qualified Centers for assists per game (3.7) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
The Las Vegas Aces rank 1st for opponent blocks per game this season (2.6).
The Las Vegas Aces rank 12th for opponent free throw percentage this season (81.5%).
The Indiana Fever have recorded the longest road winning streak in the WNBA this season (4 games).
The Indiana Fever have recorded the largest comeback win after HT this season – trailed by 19 points @ Connecticut Sun on August 17.
Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces Prediction
I’m on the Aces here. I get the case to be made for the Fever after coming in clutch in game one, but the fact of the matter is that the Aces haven’t stayed down the rare times they’ve been knocked down as of late, and this Aces team is still one of the hottest teams in the WNBA right now. For the most part this season, this has been a home team dominated series this year, and I think the Aces bounce back and even the series up at one. Give me the Aces here.
